Emerging Technologies: A glimpse into A future…

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Math252: Unit 4 - Probability

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investigacion de operaciones

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Tesina Maturità

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My Crystal Ball

Trends

Continual Education

And the 15 I know will be gone

In ten years, I'll need to know about 50

I am proficcient in about 15 different professional software tools

Technical skills have a short life span

Unlimited / Cloud Computing

Who owns the data?

Will be a subscription cost (SAS)

What is the cloud REALLY about?

Collaboration

Unlimited processing power

Increasing LOD

How do you manage so much information?

Who has the time (or fee) to do this modeling?

Model more, earlier...

Will continue to place demands on available hardware and software.

Renovations / New Construction

Driven by economy, and sustainability.

What to do with no BIMs?

Increasing focus on rehabbing current building stock

Incentives for Innovation

This is where DB / IPD can really add value

Change will not occur unless it is rewarded

New contract structures MUST encourge innovation

Ownership of Design

IP/Patent reform

Buildings as a "product"

Design as a "service"

Contractual changes

Cloud Computing

Risk/Reward

With less money for design, drawings will continue to have less information, and less coordination.

With risk goes reward, so to make money, you have to take on risk, not place it on others.

Risk will continue to migrate downstream to contractors and subcontractors.

Soapbox

Sustainability

All about lifecycle

Ranking Systems don't really matter

Integration

Vertical vs. Horizontal

Enterprise vs. Collaboration

Model = Analysis

Scale = LOD

State = Completeness

Not Soon Enough

Visual Augmentation

Let's you see what isn't there yet.

Superimposition of useful information in your FOV.

Fancy way of saying your glasses or contacts have displays integrated.

Networked Objects

Mimic the progress of BIM from self-awareness to social-awareness.

IPv6

Chairs, VAVs, and even toilet paper rolls will eventually become networked.

Local Positioning Systems

Supports VR or VA interfaces

Required for automated robotic installation or in-situ fabrication

The problem is accuracy

Realtime Reality Capture

Construction monitoring, etc...

Massive data flows requiring advanced compression and storage tools.

Supports a fundamental merger between the virtual and phyisical "existence" of objects.

Hardware and software advances

No More Drawings

So, why waste time making them anyway?

And will be orphaned for code review / permiting

Already orphaned for coordination and design.

Not needed for installation

Drawings will be orphaned as a means for Fabrication

Single Model Database

Enable many additional workflows

Reduce cross platform compatability issues

Fully parametric linkages

Multiple LODs

This will support multiple definitions of objects

Many modeling tools will access a single database

Environment Simulation

Design in Analysis environments

Visualization of compounding decisions

Provides multiple levels of simulation feedback

Discrete Analysis will give way to wholistic environment simulations.

Building Fabrication Process Consolidation

More will be done virtually up front, and actual construction will occur more rapidly on the back end after all the details are worked out

If you can fabricate in 3D, and Install robotically, why not fabricate on site in the final installtion location?

Wherever possible, processes that can be melded will be

Robotic Installation

Software is rapidly developing to help machines "learn" techniques and processes

Decreasing cost of robotics and other mechanized production tools

Union pressures, decreasing talented labor pools, increasing cost of labor, etc...

Some trades will have their work replaced by machines out on the jobsite

Mass Customization Processes

For us, this is a way to lower the cost and time required to deliver what we already deliver

We already make one-off custom products

Mass Customization is easier for our industry than for manufacturing

Soon

3D Fabrication

http://www.prometal-rct.com/eng/index.html

Will this usher in a new era of ornamentation?

This will expand to AEC allowing custom fabrications with complexity / detail not previously affordable.

Tools already exist in manufacturing to 3D print finished goods.

RFID / NFC

Can call up a wealth of information

Live tracking with jobsite sensors

On demand reporting

Why scan something when you can just know?

Photogrammetry/Videogrammetry

Just another type of sensor

Can truly bring the virtual and physical worlds into parity

Allows ubiquitous and real time data capture

Supplementing or replacing laser scanning

The Cloud(s) are gathering

Collaboration is changing, as is ownership of information.

Unlimited Computing* brings some computations down to earth, at a cost.

Software as a service for emerging technologies, learn to subscribe.

Cloud computing becomes monetized (not just Beta anymore).

Micro Metering

Or object level information on system performance

Micro-metering provides individual level feedback on building performance

Think thousands of sensors in a single building

Sub-metering is no longer enough detail

Detailed Analysis

Enabled by growing sub-metering

Enabled by continued improvements in computation / data.

Building Analysis based on detailed BIMs

Current tools are built on last generations data sources

Really, this is just a refinement of the generalized analysis tools we have now.

Realtime Rendering

http://unity3d.com/

http://lumion3d.com/

http://render.otoy.com/

Very expensive software, very expensive hardware

Communication with clients, etc...

Opens up a whole new world for designers.

The technology is here, for other industries (low poly counts).

BIM 2.0

This is what is required for collaboration to really work

Some ability to link objects across format types

Full parametric relationship support across objects and files

The rise of social-awareness in BIM objects

Now

Field Use of BIMs

Tools and workflows will follow

Changes over the next two years will make BIM accessible to anyone, anywhere, at any time, on any device.

The concepts are there today, but the hardware and software isn't

The last place BIM doesn't tread heavily.

Discrete Energy Analysis

Accuracy is highly questionable

Graphics-centric tools for communication

Not just for engineers anymore

Being pushed into the hands of designers

Barcodes and QR Codes

Not a lot of "Killer Apps" yet.

Somewhat limited built in data, dependent on links

For any manufactured/installed item, it is a way to link BIM with Reality

Not just for your grocery store anymore.

Laser Scanning

If you aren't using them, it's time to start.

Already cheaper than most alternatives in the long run

Bridging the gap between our virtual buildings, and the real ones.

Scheduling

Schedule Analysis and Optimization

Communication

4D Scheduling is just associating the tasks and their time spans with 3D opjects.

3D Coordination

Expanding scopes.

Prefab is the key to capturing value.

Not sophisticated anymore.

Nothing more than coordinating using current technology.

3D Printing

Really, just a toy for AEC

A great sales tool

A great Design tool

Prefabrication

The only real downside is that it requires more planning.

It has some serious benefits to cost, schedule, quality, etc...

Prefabrication is already the norm for many project types or scopes.

CNC Fabrication

Nothing is stopping us from taking control and leading this process to get better results.

Subs have been doing this for years, and we only now have a process to support them.

AEC is behind the curve, but catching up.

This is how a vast majority of the things we use get made.

BIM based Estimating

Using these is no different than using drawings, napkin skethces, etc...

Quantites are a natural byproduct of BIM

BIM

Design vs. Construction Models

It's also the foundation for our future...

Its here, its now, so who here is using it?